Prediksi Harga Minyak Dunia Dengan Fuzzy Time Series

Authors

  • Muta’ Alya Ramadhani Universitas Cokroaminoto Palopo
  • Besse Helmi Mustawinar UNCP
  • Dwi Risky Arifanti IAIN Palopo
  • Yuliani Yuliani Universitas Cokroaminoto Palopo

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.30605/proximal.v7i1.3471

Keywords:

Fuzzy, Time Series, Cheng, Oil Price

Abstract

The government uses economic growth as a metric to measure prosperity and the effectiveness of economic development. However, oil price fluctuations can increase inflation through increasing fuel prices and have an impact on the world economy, including Indonesia. This research will apply a fuzzy time series using the Cheng method to predict world oil prices. The results of this research show that the MAPE value for forecasting world oil prices using the Fuzzy Time Series Cheng method is 2%, which means the forecasting model has very good value.

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References

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Eha, E. D., Suwanda. 2023. Pemodelan Fuzzy Time Series Cheng untuk meramalkan Nilai Ekspor Migas di Indonesia. Bandung Conference Series : Statistics. Vol. 3 No. 2.

Fakhriyana, D. dan Briliant, I. I. 2023. Penerapan Metode Fuzzy Time Series Cheng dan Markov-Chain untuk Peramalan Indonesia Crude Oil Price (ICP). Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics. Vol. 6, No. 1.

Mustawinar, B. H., Adhalia N. F., dan Sam, M. 2022. Penerapan Fuzzy Time Series dalam meramalkan jumlah wisatawan di Masa Pandemi Covid 19. Jurnal Matematika Vol. 11 (3), Agustus 2022.

Nurfitriyani, S dan Manjaleni, R. 2023. Pengaruh Fluktuasi Minyak Dunia dan Inflasi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. Jurnal Pendidikan Tambusai. Vol. 7, no. 2.

Putra, F. M. A., dan dkk. 2023. Pengaruh Inflasi dan Harga Minyak Dunia terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. Jurnal Mahasiswa Kreatif. Vol. 1, No. 4 Juli 2023.

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Published

2024-02-29

How to Cite

Ramadhani, M. A., Mustawinar, B. H., Arifanti, D. R., & Yuliani, Y. (2024). Prediksi Harga Minyak Dunia Dengan Fuzzy Time Series. Proximal: Jurnal Penelitian Matematika Dan Pendidikan Matematika, 7(1), 305–309. https://doi.org/10.30605/proximal.v7i1.3471

Issue

Vol. 7 No. 1 (2024): Sustainable Development Goal in Mathematics and Mathematics Education

Section

Articles

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